UNIQUEst™ Predictive Platform

Two-stage ensemble combining XGBoost and GraphSAGE to identify breakout companies before traditional signals emerge.

Data & Features

Our model ingests 47 quantitative features organized into five meta-categories that predict breakout likelihood.

Funding Momentum

  • • Round velocity and size progression
  • • Investor tier and reputation scores
  • • Syndicate composition metrics
  • • Follow-on participation rates

Talent Density

  • • Hiring velocity by function
  • • Engineering ratio and seniority
  • • Previous company pedigree
  • • Advisor and board composition

Network Strength

  • • Graph centrality measures
  • • Co-investor density patterns
  • • Advisor connection quality
  • • Structural hole positions

Founder Signal

  • • Prior exit and founding experience
  • • Domain expertise depth
  • • Technical contribution history
  • • Thought leadership metrics

Market Timing

  • • Category growth trajectories
  • • Competitive landscape shifts
  • • Regulatory tailwinds/headwinds
  • • Enterprise adoption signals

47 Total Features

Comprehensive feature set engineered to capture both direct signals and second-order effects that predict breakout potential.

Model Stack

Tabular Features → XGBoost

Gradient-boosted decision trees process 35 tabular features (funding, hiring, market metrics). Optimized for precision at top percentiles with SHAP interpretability.

Network Structure → GraphSAGE

Graph neural network learns embeddings from investor-company-founder networks. Captures centrality, clustering, and structural positions that tabular models miss.

Ensemble Combination
FinalScore = 0.65 × XGB + 0.35 × GNN

Interpretability

Every score includes SHAP explanations showing feature contributions. Risk flags surface potential concerns for human review.

Example interpretability output: "Company X scores 82nd percentile. Primary drivers: high investor tier (+12 points), rapid hiring velocity (+9 points), strong network centrality (+7 points). Risk flag: single previous founder exit, recommend additional reference checks."

Backtests & Monitors

Model calibrated on historical breakout cohorts with quarterly retraining. Performance metrics and drift monitoring ensure ongoing predictive accuracy. Detailed methodology available under NDA for LP review.

For Founders

Submit your company for UNIQUEst scoring. Receive 48-hour feedback memo with scoring breakdown, feature analysis, and investment fit assessment. Quarterly score deltas available for portfolio companies.